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What are your chances of getting asylum in the UK?

10 seconds — pick your country. Home Office data, release of 21 May 2026.

I'm a citizen of:

COI dossier available

get protection
vs UK average (43%)
-37% vs UK average (43%)
Most often: Refusal · — awaiting decision
329 claims (2025) #9 of 12 by grant rate
🛂
Next test
How long until your UK passport?
5 years to ILR + 12 months to citizenship · enter your dates, see when to apply

This is not legal advice. The numbers show what happens on average — your case may be different. For advice on your situation, consult an IAA-accredited advisor.

How to read these numbers

Get protection — the share of cases where the Home Office granted refugee status or humanitarian protection at the first decision. This excludes appeals, and about half of refusals are overturned in court — so with a lawyer your real odds are usually higher than this figure.
Waiting for a decision — how many people from your country are still waiting for a first decision. Average wait in 2026 is 6-18 months.
Main outcome — what most often happens to cases from your country: protection, refusal or withdrawal.
Claims in the year — how many people from your country applied. Small numbers (single or double digits) are statistical noise, not a pattern.

These are country averages. Your case is individual — it depends on your story and evidence. Only an accredited lawyer (free via Legal Aid) can assess it.

What to do next

🛡️ Claim asylumStep by step: from the border to the decision 📋 52 screening questionsWith translation — what they ask first 🎤 Prepare for the interviewThe most important step in your case ⚖️ If you are refused14 days to appeal, ~50% succeed

Frequently asked questions

Is this legal advice?

No. This is a summary of Home Office statistics — they show what happens on average. Your case may be different. For advice on your situation, consult an IAA-accredited adviser or solicitor.

Where do these numbers come from?

Official Home Office publications, release of 21 May 2026 (year ending March 2026), updated every quarter. Full statistics with charts →

Which countries are covered?

12 countries of the former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

What if I am refused?

Do not panic. You have 14 days from the refusal to appeal to the First-tier Tribunal, and about half succeed. After that come the Upper Tribunal and further submissions. Removal is only possible once all appeals are exhausted. A Legal Aid lawyer is free. How to appeal →

Can I work while waiting for a decision?

As a general rule, no. If you wait longer than 12 months you can apply for permission to work, but for applications made from 26 March 2026 — only in occupations at RQF 6+ (Appendix Skilled Occupations), for earlier ones from the Immigration Salary List. For most people, volunteering is the realistic option. Right to work →

Source: Home Office, Immigration system statistics, release of 21 May 2026 (year ending March 2026). Open Government Licence v3.

This page updates after every quarterly Home Office release. Last updated: 21 May 2026. Next: 28 August 2026.