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Key asylum precedents

Five Supreme Court decisions that shape the logic of asylum cases, and country guidance for our readers’ countries — explained, with exact quotes and links to the originals.

Each analysis answers one question: what the case established — the rule the Home Office and the courts must now apply. We write from the official texts and give the key quotes verbatim.

An analysis is not advice. Whether your story resembles a precedent is for a lawyer to assess: every case has its own facts, and the facts decide the outcome.

Unofficial translation. Only the English original of the decision has legal force.
01

Supreme Court decisions

[2010] UKSC 31 · 7 July 2010 · UKSC

HJ (Iran): no one can be required to “live discreetly” to avoid persecution

What the case established
The Supreme Court unanimously held that asylum cannot be refused on the basis that a person could conceal their sexual orientation and so avoid persecution. The “reasonable tolerability” test was declared contrary to the Refugee Convention.

The two appellants were gay men from Iran and Cameroon. In both countries same-sex relations are a criminal offence; in Iran they carry the death penalty. The lower courts had reasoned: if the person returns and hides their orientation, the authorities will not notice them — so there is no risk and no need for protection.

The Supreme Court rejected that logic entirely. The Convention exists so that a person can live freely and openly — not “on condition” that they hide the very thing they are persecuted for. Persecution does not stop being persecution because the victim can avoid it by giving up who they are.

The Court set out a step-by-step test (para 82, Lord Rodger). The key step: if the person would conceal their identity because of a fear of persecution — even in part — they have a well-founded fear and are entitled to protection. If they would be discreet only because of family or social pressure, that alone is not enough: social disapproval is not covered by the Convention.

This case is the foundation of all UK asylum claims based on sexual orientation. Its logic was later extended to political beliefs in RT (Zimbabwe).

Key quote

«To reject his application on the ground that he could avoid the persecution by living discreetly would be to defeat the very right which the Convention exists to protect – his right to live freely and openly as a gay man without fear of persecution.»

— para 82 of the judgment, Lord Rodger
[2012] UKSC 38 · 25 July 2012 · UKSC

RT (Zimbabwe): no one can be required to feign loyalty to a regime

What the case established
The HJ (Iran) principle extends to political beliefs — including the absence of them. Asylum cannot be refused on the reasoning that the person “could” lie and feign support for the regime in order to survive.

The appellants were Zimbabwean citizens with no political views. Under the country guidance then in force, regime militias tested loyalty: demanding a Zanu-PF card or knowledge of party songs. Anyone who could not prove loyalty was treated as an enemy. The Home Office argued the appellants were not opposition activists, so they could simply feign loyalty and be safe.

The Supreme Court (seven Justices, unanimous) rejected that approach. Freedom of thought protects non-believers too: the right not to hold and not to express opinions is just as fundamental. There is no distinction between a committed political neutral and someone who has never thought about politics.

The Court also confirmed the imputed-opinion principle: persecution for an opinion the person does not actually hold is still Convention persecution. What matters is the persecutor’s perception, not the victim’s actual views.

For readers from countries where the authorities test loyalty, this is one of the most practically important precedents: silence and forced lies do not “solve the problem” as a matter of law.

Key quote

«Nobody should be forced to have or express a political opinion in which he does not believe. He should not be required to dissemble on pain of persecution. Refugee law does not require a person to express false support for an oppressive regime, any more than it requires an agnostic to pretend to be a religious believer in order to avoid persecution.»

— para 42 of the judgment, Lord Dyson
[2018] UKSC 53 · 24 October 2018 · UKSC

KO (Nigeria): what “unduly harsh” means for a child facing a parent’s deportation

What the case established
In deportation for criminality (sentences of 12 months to 4 years), the question whether the effect on a child would be “unduly harsh” is assessed by looking at the child. The seriousness of the parent’s offence is not part of that test.

The case concerned deportation of “foreign criminals” — non-citizens sentenced to 12 months or more. The law (section 117C of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002) provides an exception: deportation can be avoided if its effect on a qualifying child or partner would be “unduly harsh”.

The Home Office argued: the more serious the offence, the more hardship for the child is “due”. The Supreme Court disagreed: the test looks only at the child. Balancing the offence against the child’s suffering has no place inside this test.

At the same time the Court confirmed the threshold is high. “Unduly harsh” is more than “undesirable” or “merely difficult” (the MK (Sierra Leone) direction, endorsed as authoritative). The ordinary consequences of separation are not enough — it must be shown that this particular child would face genuinely severe hardship.

How to apply that threshold in practice was clarified in HA (Iraq) — see the next case.

Key quote

«“Unduly” goes beyond a level of “harshness” that may be acceptable or justifiable in the relevant context. … It does not require a balancing of relative levels of severity of the parent’s offence … and it does not require “very compelling reasons”.»

— para 23 of the judgment, Lord Carnwath
[2020] UKSC 17 · 29 April 2020 · UKSC

AM (Zimbabwe): illness and article 3 — a new test instead of “deathbed only”

What the case established
The Supreme Court departed from the old “critical stage of illness” test (N v SSHD, 2005) and adopted the ECtHR’s Paposhvili test: article 3 is engaged by return to a country where the person faces a serious, rapid and irreversible decline in health resulting in intense suffering — or a significant reduction in life expectancy.

The appellant was a Zimbabwean citizen living with HIV. Treatment in the UK kept the illness under control; access to the required drug in Zimbabwe was doubtful. Under the old law (the N case, 2005) such claims almost always failed: protection was reserved for those already dying.

The Supreme Court brought UK law into line with the ECtHR (Paposhvili v Belgium). “Very exceptional cases” are no longer limited to imminent death: a real risk of a serious, rapid and irreversible decline with intense suffering, or a significant (“significant” means “substantial”) reduction in life expectancy, is enough.

The threshold remains high, and the Court described the procedure: the applicant must first present evidence which — if unchallenged — would establish the real risk. Only then must the state “dispel any serious doubts”, including by checking the actual availability of treatment.

For people living with HIV, diabetes, cancer and other serious conditions this is the key precedent. Medical cases are evidence-heavy: they are not won without up-to-date medical reports and country evidence on treatment availability — that is a lawyer’s work.

Key quote

«…a real risk … of being exposed either to a serious, rapid and irreversible decline in health resulting in intense suffering, or to a significant reduction in life expectancy.»

— the Paposhvili test as set out in the judgment (para 22)
[2022] UKSC 22 · 20 July 2022 · UKSC

HA (Iraq): a child’s hardship is not compared with “any child”

What the case established
The Supreme Court rejected the “notional comparator” test: the hardship of a particular child facing a parent’s deportation cannot be measured against an abstract “any child separated from a parent”. The real child and the real circumstances are what count.

After KO (Nigeria), tribunals began asking: “would this child really suffer more than any child whose parent is deported?” That comparison almost always worked against the family. The Home Office defended it in the Supreme Court — and lost.

The Court explained: “any child” has no measurable characteristics, and such a baseline is inconsistent with the duty to consider the best interests of the particular child. The correct standard is the direct MK (Sierra Leone) formula: “unduly harsh” means something severe and bleak, well beyond ordinary difficulty, with “unduly” raising the bar higher still.

The Court also clarified the “very compelling circumstances” test for sentences of 4 years or more: a full weighing of all circumstances against the very strong public interest in deportation. Rehabilitation is a relevant factor; the surest guide to the seriousness of the offence is the sentence itself.

Together, KO and HA are the operative standard for families facing a parent’s deportation for criminality. These are article 8 (family life) cases rather than asylum cases — but in real life they often run alongside asylum claims.

Key quote

«…unduly harsh does not equate with uncomfortable, inconvenient, undesirable or merely difficult. Rather, it poses a considerably more elevated threshold. “Harsh” in this context, denotes something severe, or bleak. It is the antithesis of pleasant or comfortable.»

— the MK (Sierra Leone) direction endorsed in the judgment (paras 41–45)

Country guidance by country

Country guidance (CG) decisions are Upper Tribunal rulings on the situation in a specific country. Their conclusions bind all later cases about that country until the tribunal issues new CG or a court departs from the old one on strong grounds supported by cogent fresh evidence.

For our countries the CG layer is old: most decisions are 10–20 years of age. That does not make them empty — but it means a live case will largely be built on fresh country evidence. Discuss this with a lawyer.

Mind the age: country guidance describes the situation as of the date of the decision. The older the case, the more fresh country evidence matters.
02

Ukraine

The main line of Ukrainian CG cases is draft evasion and mobilisation: PS (2006) → VB (2017) → PK (2018) → PK and OS (2020). All were decided before or at the start of the full-scale war: PK and OS assessed the pre-2020 conflict in the ATO zone. Country guidance formally applies until the tribunal replaces it, but courts may depart from it on strong grounds supported by cogent fresh evidence — and the situation has changed radically. That is a conversation for a lawyer, not for do-it-yourself conclusions.

Country Guidance [2020] UKUT 314 19 November 2020
PK and OS (basic rules of human conduct) Ukraine CG

Punishment for refusing military service can amount to persecution where the service itself would involve acts contrary to the basic rules of human conduct — or indispensable support for such acts. On the facts in 2020 the tribunal found criminal or administrative proceedings against a draft evader in Ukraine unlikely, and detention at the border “highly unlikely”. The Home Office CPIN on military service (version 9.0, September 2025) confirms this guidance continues to apply, disproportionate punishments remain unlikely, and each case turns on its own facts.

Official text of the decision →
Reported [2018] UKUT 241 5 May 2018
PK (Draft evader; punishment; minimum severity) Ukraine

Not a CG case, but a reported decision in the same line: the tribunal examined the minimum severity of punishment for draft evasion needed to amount to persecution. The link between VB (2017) and PK and OS (2020).

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2017] UKUT 79 6 March 2017
VB and Another (draft evaders and prison conditions) Ukraine CG

Draft evasion: the tribunal found no real likelihood of prosecution — very few evaders were prosecuted, almost always with fines or suspended sentences. But if a person is actually imprisoned, detention conditions create a real risk of an article 3 ECHR breach (para 90). A person convicted in absentia is probably entitled to a retrial.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2006] UKAIT 00016 22 February 2006
PS (prison conditions; military service) Ukraine CG

Prison conditions in Ukraine are likely to breach article 3 ECHR. Hazing (dedovshchina) in the army alone — insufficient evidence of a real article 3 risk. Superseded the earlier TV (2004); the prison limb was later updated by VB (2017).

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2004] UKIAT 00242 1 September 2004
VS (Registration on Relocation) Ukraine CG

Internal relocation: the need to register at a new address and small bribes (around $200 on the case evidence) do not by themselves make relocation within Ukraine unduly harsh. A 2004 decision — the factual base has long changed.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2003] UKIAT 00005 29 May 2003
MV (Risk – Homosexuals) Ukraine CG

A 2003 decision: the tribunal saw no general risk for gay men in large Ukrainian cities — “unless they deliberately advertize themselves”. Important: that very logic (“stay discreet and you are safe”) was rejected by the Supreme Court in HJ (Iran) in 2010. MV is a historical layer; a current assessment needs fresh country evidence and the HJ test.

Official text of the decision →
03

Uzbekistan

Country Guidance [2012] UKUT 00390 23 November 2012
LM (returnees – expired exit permit) Uzbekistan CG

Article 223 of the Uzbek Criminal Code (“illegal exit abroad”) carries up to 5 years’ imprisonment, up to 10 with aggravating features. But those who left lawfully and return with an expired exit permit face no penalty as a general rule; article 223 prosecutions targeted people already of interest to the authorities (Andijan 2005, alleged Islamism and the like). Where detention is likely, article 3 ECHR is engaged: ill-treatment of detainees is described as a pervasive and enduring problem. The OM (2007) guidance was re-affirmed. Note: Uzbekistan abolished exit permits from 2019 — part of the factual base is outdated; check the current position with a lawyer.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2007] UKAIT 00045 23 May 2007
OM (Returning citizens – minorities – religion) Uzbekistan CG

Returning with an expired passport or exit permit does not of itself create risk; discrimination against non-Uzbeks falls short of persecution. On religion: ordinary worshippers face harassment below the persecution threshold, but ministers of religion, members of unregistered congregations, active evangelical Christians and proselytising movements may be at risk depending on the facts. In 2012 the tribunal in LM re-affirmed this guidance.

Official text of the decision →
04

Azerbaijan

Country Guidance [2013] UKUT 00046 13 February 2013
SL (Unmarried mother with mixed race child) Azerbaijan CG

Unmarried mothers and mothers of mixed-race children: no state persecution; a propiska (residence permit) can be restored; for women facing family “honour” retribution the tribunal found state protection sufficient. Discrimination against people of mixed race is possible but, on the tribunal’s findings, falls below the persecution threshold.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2007] UKAIT 00032 26 March 2007
EA (Azerbaijan male – Armenian ethnicity – risk) Azerbaijan CG

A male Azerbaijani citizen of Armenian ethnicity who has come to the attention of the authorities faces a real risk of persecution. One of the few CG cases where risk is recognised directly in the headnote.

Official text of the decision →
05

Moldova

Country Guidance [2008] UKAIT 00002 26 November 2007
SB (PSG – Protection Regulations – Reg 6) Moldova CG

“Former victims of trafficking for sexual exploitation” are a particular social group under the Convention: the shared past is an immutable characteristic. Whether a particular woman faces a real risk is decided on the facts of her case. The social-group principle applies beyond Moldova.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2004] UKIAT 00011 10 February 2004
PH (Sufficiency of Protection – Mafia) Moldova CG

Threats from “mafia” and organised crime: the tribunal found Moldovan state protection sufficient in general (the Horvath standard) — corruption is widespread, but the authorities do prosecute crime. This case gives no general right to asylum “because of the mafia”.

Official text of the decision →
Country Guidance [2002] UKIAT 06886 27 February 2003
OV (Persecution – PSG – Jews) Moldova CG

Moldova’s Jewish community: antisemitic incidents occur, but the tribunal found no systematic persecution and considered state protection sufficient. A 2003 decision.

Official text of the decision →
06

Kyrgyzstan

Country Guidance [2004] UKIAT 00063 6 April 2004
MK (Risk – Political Opinion) Kyrgyzstan CG

Ordinary participation in opposition rallies (an Ar-Namys party member’s case, 2004): the tribunal found no general risk for rank-and-file participants; arrests of activists were, on the case materials, monitored by parties and human-rights groups. The case largely turned on credibility. The decision is over twenty years old — it predates the events of 2005, 2010 and 2020; see fresh country materials for the current picture.

Official text of the decision →
07

Tajikistan

Country Guidance [2004] UKIAT 00133 28 May 2004
NA (Kyrgyz Woman) Tajikistan CG

A woman of Kyrgyz ethnicity from Tajikistan: a single attack, however grave, was not accepted as ethnic persecution; state protection and internal relocation were found available. A 2004 decision — the only CG case on Tajikistan; its factual base is long out of date.

Official text of the decision →
08

Russia

There is no current CG case on Russia: the last ones date from 2002–2009, the Chechen-wars era. Neither the 2022 mobilisation nor prosecution for anti-war speech is covered by country guidance — such cases are decided on fresh country evidence without a CG framework.

The historical layer — Chechen-era CG cases (2002–2009). We list them for completeness: they have not been formally replaced, but the factual base is twenty years old. We do not provide analyses for them.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence.